Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.184411 0.219240 0.258325 0.305361 0.360353 0.422533 0.498096
2025-05-11 0.130494 0.174300 0.228922 0.301723 0.395863 0.513112 0.669797
2025-05-18 0.097740 0.142646 0.203278 0.290497 0.411994 0.574376 0.806804
2025-05-25 0.075283 0.118426 0.180711 0.276193 0.417640 0.617931 0.921084
2025-06-01 0.063810 0.107075 0.173224 0.280272 0.447302 0.695555 1.089192
2025-06-08 0.052101 0.092879 0.158649 0.270557 0.453711 0.738249 1.208908
2025-06-15 0.045957 0.086466 0.154979 0.276829 0.484789 0.820579 1.396782
2025-06-22 0.040167 0.079546 0.149205 0.278364 0.507612 0.891323 1.572548
2025-06-29 0.034587 0.071975 0.141033 0.274292 0.519822 0.945038 1.724613
2025-07-06 0.030003 0.065465 0.133724 0.270521 0.531620 0.998517 1.880654
2025-07-13 0.027823 0.063354 0.134319 0.281424 0.571133 1.104079 2.138073
2025-07-20 0.027002 0.063914 0.140145 0.303058 0.633060 1.255725 2.492726
2025-07-27 0.024931 0.061640 0.140345 0.314366 0.678068 1.383862 2.823122
2025-08-03 0.021829 0.056525 0.133923 0.311293 0.694354 1.459836 3.063849
2025-08-10 0.018560 0.050375 0.124254 0.299788 0.691576 1.497793 3.233580
2025-08-17 0.015589 0.044351 0.113866 0.285060 0.679794 1.515850 3.364362
2025-08-24 0.014191 0.042080 0.111888 0.289262 0.709959 1.623515 3.690206
2025-08-31 0.012202 0.037822 0.104393 0.279253 0.706578 1.659269 3.867081
2025-09-07 0.011288 0.036369 0.103697 0.285715 0.742167 1.783114 4.245902
2025-09-14 0.010251 0.034351 0.101212 0.287296 0.766212 1.883456 4.581973
2025-09-21 0.009100 0.031753 0.096753 0.283101 0.775519 1.950991 4.850122
2025-09-28 0.008102 0.029417 0.092639 0.279217 0.785077 2.019906 5.127719
2025-10-05 0.007721 0.029010 0.093964 0.290448 0.834925 2.189405 5.657186